Future Simulation
Timeline and bottleneck scenario lab
Controls
Compute growth78
Energy abundance52
Safety governance61
Hardware breakthrough rate46
Projected Pathways
Compute scaling
82Frontier digital systems continue rapid inference and memory optimization.
Energy bottleneck
68Power availability and cooling shape datacenter expansion and hardware routing.
Robotics grounding
57Embodied learning improves real-world causal models, but safety cost remains high.
Recursive acceleration
44Self-improvement loops become useful only under strong verification and evaluation gates.